Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.694890e-05 8.212134e-05 0.000099 0.000118 0.000139 0.000162 0.000189
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.712634e-05 6.563211e-05 0.000087 0.000114 0.000146 0.000181 0.000224
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.511465e-05 5.438797e-05 0.000078 0.000109 0.000147 0.000192 0.000246
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.701770e-05 4.668378e-05 0.000073 0.000108 0.000152 0.000206 0.000273
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.009964e-05 3.895787e-05 0.000065 0.000103 0.000151 0.000212 0.000289
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.582501e-05 3.432155e-05 0.000062 0.000102 0.000156 0.000224 0.000313
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.245853e-05 3.029832e-05 0.000058 0.000101 0.000159 0.000234 0.000334
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.230776e-06 2.582792e-05 0.000054 0.000097 0.000160 0.000241 0.000350
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.695650e-06 2.188982e-05 0.000049 0.000094 0.000159 0.000245 0.000363
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.828884e-06 1.873225e-05 0.000045 0.000091 0.000159 0.000251 0.000379
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.055869e-06 1.502882e-05 0.000040 0.000085 0.000155 0.000250 0.000385
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.606215e-06 1.452106e-05 0.000041 0.000089 0.000164 0.000268 0.000415
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.181880e-06 1.081483e-05 0.000036 0.000085 0.000165 0.000279 0.000443
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.120931e-07 7.876710e-06 0.000031 0.000081 0.000166 0.000291 0.000473
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.280952e-08 5.683838e-06 0.000028 0.000078 0.000167 0.000301 0.000500
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.092163e-09 4.193938e-06 0.000025 0.000076 0.000171 0.000315 0.000533
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.791373e-06 0.000022 0.000073 0.000170 0.000323 0.000556
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.018892e-06 0.000020 0.000072 0.000174 0.000338 0.000590
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.427604e-06 0.000018 0.000071 0.000178 0.000352 0.000624
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.573797e-07 0.000016 0.000068 0.000179 0.000361 0.000649
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.680135e-07 0.000014 0.000065 0.000179 0.000368 0.000672
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.327978e-07 0.000012 0.000063 0.000179 0.000377 0.000698
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 6.563818e-08 0.000010 0.000059 0.000175 0.000378 0.000711